Gustav a Category Two by 2 AM?

The eye of Gustav is now beginning to show up on the IR image, and considering the pressure, Gustav could be upgraded to Category 2 at the 2 AM advisory. There hasn’t been a new model of either the GFDL or HWRF, although hopefully one comes out at 2 AM.

Scenarios for Gustav’s U.S. landfall

CMC – Pearl River Island, Louisiana in 120 hours
GFDL – Petit Bois Island, Mississippi in aprox. 87 hours
GFS – Dauphin Island, Alabama in 108 hours
HWRF – Garden Island Bay, Lousiana in 90 hours