My two main forecasts, the GFDL and HWRF are both setting up devastating scenarios for two cities: the GFDL brings a Cat. 4 Gustav to Galveston, and the 00z run of the HWRF brings the joint 3rd most intense Atlantic hurricane just off Louisiana. The 00z run of the HWRF now strengthens Gustav further than the last few models had. The HWRF has had a habit of forecasting a wind speed with a pressure way lower than normal for that speed, which is evident in the last frame of the animation which has the storm at 155 mph, but a pressure of 892 mb.
Filed under: 07L - Hurricane Gustav, 2008 Atlantic hurricane season, Hurricanes
The HWRF forecasts 155 *knots*, not 155 mph. That might be why you are perceiving it to have a disconnect between wind speed and pressure. The forecast is 892 mb and 155 knots, which is about 175 mph — which makes more sense for a theoretical 892-mb storm.
@Drew: I read the wind speed as 137 knots which would equate to either 155 or 160 mph. The model never mentioned anything about 155 knot winds.
I hope this doesn’t become another Katrina.
Love&Peace